Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 95.831858 109.853431 126.382075 147.628946 174.713383 208.813334 256.250597
2024-10-13 74.059453 90.076269 110.835687 140.715598 184.511386 249.941228 363.652086
2024-10-20 65.374073 82.660017 106.545836 143.831792 204.714701 309.935362 537.079932
2024-10-27 57.962937 75.222260 100.139865 141.359377 214.394728 356.605469 732.118324
2024-11-03 55.090785 73.520379 101.432560 150.747805 247.103682 466.122222 1249.798758
2024-11-10 54.832665 75.481999 108.500199 171.567220 311.005892 705.223490 3152.898876
2024-11-17 51.003682 71.346214 104.815055 171.519314 329.913133 845.010828 6020.347869
2024-11-24 47.482400 67.271046 100.581766 169.328490 342.825446 984.896388 12884.921366
2024-12-01 44.292459 63.399332 96.166687 165.778760 350.883189 1122.683885 34950.830453
2024-12-08 41.957350 60.721030 93.553055 165.559191 368.741299 1349.575125 527058.521450
2024-12-15 39.990568 58.479900 91.457945 166.057722 389.519948 1657.186807 NaN
2024-12-22 37.424429 54.998101 86.630993 159.267616 383.404823 1769.438744 NaN
2024-12-29 36.218552 54.035875 87.025010 166.425610 436.331742 2725.853326 NaN
2025-01-05 33.526866 50.252943 81.493662 157.811971 425.608435 2981.525029 NaN
2025-01-12 32.279929 48.949243 80.776991 161.541565 469.767915 4677.614443 NaN
2025-01-19 30.594169 46.698124 77.833729 158.599816 482.824105 6212.648364 NaN
2025-01-26 30.181399 46.757028 79.734221 169.787699 579.147820 17814.937205 NaN
2025-02-02 30.635594 48.484930 85.510768 194.823325 806.632225 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 29.435600 46.897948 83.603202 194.765370 864.608916 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 28.194339 45.140014 81.106746 192.116598 900.352485 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 26.967170 43.331177 78.314296 187.831951 918.021653 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 26.046536 42.078942 76.727086 187.567213 979.677745 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 25.237016 40.998690 75.445995 188.168350 1057.220519 NaN NaN